Entering Friday’s Hockey East semifinals at TD Garden in Boston, there are three teams whose NCAA fates are all but sealed, while there’s one team in the unfamiliar position of needing something to break their way this weekend.
Top-seeded Massachusetts-Lowell already has an NCAA bid locked up. The River Hawks take on Notre Dame in the first semifinal (5 p.m.), and even the Irish are projected to make the NCAA Tournament with a 99.4 percent probability, according to our CHN Pairwise Probability Matrix.
In the late game (8 p.m.), Boston University is trying to secure a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, and likely needs a conference title in order to do so. Boston College is in uncharted waters, needing some wins this weekend in order to make the tournament.
Technically, there are still scenarios in play where BC loses to BU on Friday, and still makes the NCAA Tournament. But those chances are so slim, they’re microscopic.