Pairwise as of all games complete, Feb. 20, 2011
2. North Dakota
3. Boston College
10. Notre Dame
11. New Hampshire
15. Western Michigan
1. Yale vs. 16. RIT
8. Union vs. 9. Nebraska Omaha
3. Boston College vs. 14. Wisconsin
6. Michigan vs. 11. New Hampshire
2. North Dakota vs. 15. Western Michigan
7. Minnesota-Duluth vs. 10. Notre Dame
4. Merrimack vs. 13. RPI
5. Denver vs. 12. Miami
So I believe that the Warriors would stay in St. Louis and flip with Denver and now have the No. 1 seed in that regional. The biggest news out of that regional is that Dartmouth dropped out of the tournament completely after losses to Colgate and Cornell over the weekend. So now, the Warriors would be matched up with RPI in the 1 vs. 4 game in that bracket.
It’s not going to be easy for the Warriors to end up in Manchester. At this point, if they remain a No. 1 seed, it’s going to be nearly impossible for them to go to Bridgeport, unless Yale drops into a No. 2 seed, but right now, the Bulldogs are the No. 1 overall seed in the entire tournament.
They could wind up in Manchester if they jump Boston College in the Pairwise, but that’s a heck of a task, obviously. And then, if UNH is a No. 4 seed, it would be hard for either BC or Merrimack to got to Manchester, if both were to finish as No. 1 seeds (in an effort to avoid inter-conference matchups in the first round).
So, while plenty of things can still happen, I think the Warriors will be traveling west if they are fortunate enough to make the NCAA’s. And like I said in my Reax post, while nothing is a “lock” if you asked me to put money on it, I’d say the Warriors make the NCAA’s.
Not sure the last time – if ever – that a team projected as a No. 1 seed in a regional this late in the season missed out on the tournament completely. Wouldn’t seem to me that it happens that often.